Castilleja vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 1
COR
87%
10%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ATC
1 - 4
CAS
13%
21%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LCF
49%
24%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 2
ECI
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CDG
0 - 0
LUC
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ROD
2 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
RJA
27%
31%
42%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |