Castilleja vs Palma del Rio Atletico CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 2
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDT
1 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palma del Rio Atletico CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
EGA
2 - 0
PAL
27%
22%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
MOG
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CCF
3 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 3
ALG
39%
23%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |