Castilleja vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CIU
0 - 2
CAS
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CDG
0 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
LAP
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAS
39%
25%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDT
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARO
3 - 1
CDG
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LAP
1 - 1
ARO
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UDT
2 - 3
ARO
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARO
0 - 2
VIS
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |