Castilleja vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CCF
0 - 0
CAS
26%
25%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
EGA
0 - 2
CAS
31%
25%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
LAP
60%
22%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 1
EGA
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
ARC
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 0
MON
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 2
ARC
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
4 - 0
REC
74%
16%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |