Castilleja vs Almodóvar del Río analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 0
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDP
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 2
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
FER
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UDT
2 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Almodóvar del Río
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
CDP
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
ALM
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
CDR
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
ALM
46%
24%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
REC
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |