Castilleja vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
UDB
1 - 2
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
UTR
27%
25%
49%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 4
ADS
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 3
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 3
VIS
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALC
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 3
ANT
47%
24%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ADS
4 - 4
ALC
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 1
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |