Castelo SD vs Alerta Sanguiñeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelo SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SJR
3 - 2
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 3
ATV
26%
23%
51%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOM
7 - 0
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAS
50%
21%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alerta Sanguiñeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAÑ
39%
21%
39%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SJR
2 - 0
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATV
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 0
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
41%
23%
37%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |