Castelnau Le Crès U17 vs Gazélec Ajaccio U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
9º
6º
26
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelnau Le Crès U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 2
DUC
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STN
0 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
6 - 1
CAS
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 0
GAZ
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 2
VAL
43%
21%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
STN
4 - 0
GAZ
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
0 - 7
NIC
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
2 - 4
GAZ
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |