Castellazzo vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
4 - 1
CAS
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
NOV
10%
17%
74%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 0
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAR
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FEZ
2 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 2
SES
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VFC
2 - 3
LAV
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAV
3 - 0
ACQ
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SET
1 - 0
LAV
43%
27%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LAV
4 - 0
CHI
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |