Castellazzo vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
COM
6%
17%
77%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAS
87%
9%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOL
9%
16%
75%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
CHI
11%
18%
71%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 0
DER
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
DER
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
PAV
7%
18%
75%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |