Castellazzo vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
77.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 2
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
VAR
7%
17%
76%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
BOR
9%
17%
74%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +4 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
VAR
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
CHI
21%
22%
58%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAV
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |