Castellazzo vs Borgosesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
74.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 1
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
DER
18%
21%
62%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 0
SER
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 2
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |