Castellazzo vs OltrepòVoghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
76.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
GOZ
3 - 0
CAS
86%
11%
3%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAS
11%
17%
73%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
INV
2 - 0
CAS
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SET
1 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
CHI
21%
19%
61%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 0
ASD
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
SER
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
ASD
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
ASD
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |