Castellazzo vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
76.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
BOR
9%
17%
74%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 1
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
DER
18%
21%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SER
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 2
VAR
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOR
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLG
1 - 1
VAR
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAV
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |