Castellar vs Joanenc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CUE
1 - 0
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ASE
2 - 1
CUE
47%
21%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 5
CUE
34%
23%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TPE
1 - 1
CUE
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 5
CUE
17%
20%
64%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Joanenc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JOA
3 - 0
ASE
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
JOA
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JOA
2 - 1
TPE
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
JOA
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 2
PUI
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |