Castellar vs Caldes Montbui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CUE
0 - 0
BAN
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TOS
1 - 2
CUE
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
CUE
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CUE
2 - 1
RSS
64%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MON
3 - 4
CUE
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldes Montbui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
3 - 1
CMB
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CMB
3 - 2
RSS
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
CMB
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CMB
0 - 0
CFM
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ECG
0 - 1
CMB
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |