Castellanzese vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
4 - 0
FOL
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 1
VAR
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VCB
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
5 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |