Castellanzese vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
UNI
46%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAL
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 3
USP
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
USB
2 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
USP
0 - 1
USB
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
USB
0 - 0
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
USB
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
USB
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |