Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
USB
44%
22%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
UNI
46%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAL
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
FOL
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 2
FOL
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |