Castellanzese vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
CAS
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USP
1 - 1
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 2
SAN
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
CRE
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
DES
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CRE
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 1
OLG
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |