Castellanzese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+113%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
18º
14º
20
5º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
49 | 73 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 72 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 68 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 66 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 65 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 61 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 56 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 55 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 52 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 50 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 47 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 41 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 41 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 40 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 36 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
20º
|
18 | 35 |
18º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 34 |
19º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
20 | 32 |
20º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
45% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VIG
0 - 0
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
MIL
56%
20%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 1
CAS
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
PRO
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OSP
2 - 0
CAS
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Ciliverghe Mazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIL
1 - 4
CAS
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 0
CIL
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CIL
1 - 1
VIG
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CIL
2 - 0
MIL
13%
18%
70%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +6 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 1
CIL
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | +1 |