Castellanzese vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
15º
10º
46
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 74 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 58 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 56 |
8º
|
58% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 45 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 44 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 33 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAS
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 2
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
ADR
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
PDH
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
CCA
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 2
NOV
11%
21%
69%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 2
CHI
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |