Castellanzese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 2
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
ADR
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
FOL
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
UNI
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
USP
1 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
SAN
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |