Castellanzese vs PDHAE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
CAS
17%
19%
65%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAS
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
PDH
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PDHAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 0
ASD
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PDH
2 - 1
ASD
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
PDH
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PDH
2 - 1
BOR
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
PDH
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |