Castellanzese vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 0
CAS
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 1
USS
73%
15%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 1
PDH
50%
21%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
CAS
17%
19%
65%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VCB
1 - 1
UNI
20%
19%
61%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
UNI
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VFC
0 - 5
UNI
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOL
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |