Castelfidardo Calcio vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASD
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VIS
1 - 2
CAM
75%
16%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 2
VIS
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 0
FAB
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 1
VIS
26%
25%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 0
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |