Castelfidardo Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
17º
18º
18º
6
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
6 | 70 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 61 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 60 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 57 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 57 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 55 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 48 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 48 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 48 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 45 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 36 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 35 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 21 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
87% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SFF
0 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NER
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
REC
2 - 3
CAS
84%
11%
4%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRA
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
VSU
3 - 5
SSS
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
VSU
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VSU
0 - 2
VAS
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AVE
3 - 1
VSU
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VSU
1 - 1
BFM
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |