Castelfidardo Calcio vs Nerostellati Pratola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 1
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAN
15%
24%
61%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +4 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
CIV
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAS
83%
13%
5%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Nerostellati Pratola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
4 - 3
USN
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |