Castelfidardo Calcio vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
JES
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +5 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 4
VIS
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
GIU
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
JES
56%
22%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
FAB
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
USN
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |