Castelfidardo Calcio vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 3
CAS
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
OLY
19%
24%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
USN
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 3
PIN
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAT
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
LAQ
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |