Castelfidardo Calcio vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 3
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
SSS
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
CHI
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
MON
52%
21%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
SSS
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
REC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |