Castelfidardo Calcio vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 4
VIS
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
45%
26%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
JES
63%
21%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
JES
56%
22%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 2
JES
53%
25%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
JES
0 - 1
LAQ
19%
23%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |