Castelfidardo Calcio vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAM
24%
26%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
5 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
OLY
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
AVE
5 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
3 - 1
OLY
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
FRA
83%
13%
4%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
GIU
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |