Castelfidardo Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
JES
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
FER
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 2
FER
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
PIN
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |