Castelfidardo Calcio vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ISE
3 - 1
CAS
52%
23%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GIU
2 - 1
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
VIS
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAM
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 1
CAM
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 4
FAN
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 0
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 1
FAN
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |