Castelfidardo Calcio vs ASD Atletico Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
18º
10º
30
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 0
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 3
SSS
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SOR
1 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 0
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +6 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Atletico Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
RCF
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BFM
1 - 0
ASD
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
LAQ
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
35%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REC
3 - 4
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |