Castelfidardo Calcio vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
20%
71.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
17%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ISE
0 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
CES
3 - 2
SAN
82%
14%
5%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CES
4 - 1
ASD
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
10%
21%
69%
|
64 | 22 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
CAM
83%
13%
4%
|
64 | 22 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 0
CES
10%
21%
70%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | -1 |