Castel Sangro vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
64.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
USF
2 - 0
CAS
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CAS
1 - 0
COS
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 2
CES
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
USC
2 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
USC
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
USC
2 - 1
UDI
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
COM
4 - 5
USC
17%
25%
58%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ACM
7 - 1
USC
73%
19%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |