Castel Sangro vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ASC
3 - 0
CAS
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
SAS
5 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
NOC
2 - 0
AVE
27%
30%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAQ
63%
22%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
AVE
3 - 0
SAM
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +2 |