Castel Sangro vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 2
TAR
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
GIU
0 - 0
CAS
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 3
ASC
29%
28%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
VIR
3 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
CAT
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
TAR
2 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
LOD
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |