Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 2-1
Castel Sangro vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAS
96%
4%
1%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 2
FIO
6%
17%
77%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
CAS
2 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAS
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAS
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
PRG
1 - 1
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
PRG
28%
30%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
PRG
2 - 1
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
PES
1 - 2
PRG
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
PRG
1 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |