Castel Sangro vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 0
PES
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SOR
2 - 0
CAS
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 0
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
TAR
3 - 1
NOC
64%
24%
13%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 3
ASC
24%
29%
47%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 0
NOC
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 4
CAT
28%
30%
43%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |