Castel Sangro vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAS
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 0
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CAS
3 - 2
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ARZ
5 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 2
FIA
29%
27%
45%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOC
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |