Castel Sangro vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SAS
4 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIR
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAS
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 2
TAR
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
FER
0 - 1
GIU
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
VIS
0 - 0
FER
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
FER
1 - 0
TAR
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
FER
2 - 0
SOR
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |