Castel Sangro vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 0
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIU
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 2
ANC
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAT
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 0
FIA
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 3
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |