Castel Sangro vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 1
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 2
RAV
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
PAL
3 - 0
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CAS
2 - 0
USC
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
USC
0 - 0
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
PAD
4 - 0
PAL
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
USF
1 - 1
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
PAD
2 - 1
VNZ
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |