Castel Sangro vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIU
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIT
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
LOD
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |