Castel Sangro vs Atl. Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NOC
0 - 0
CAS
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CAS
2 - 2
CRO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
CAS
1 - 1
INT
9%
21%
69%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
INT
1 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
1%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
FIA
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAT
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
VER
3 - 0
CAT
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CAT
0 - 1
VER
12%
21%
68%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | 0 |