Castel Sangro vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 1
CAS
38%
31%
31%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAT
35%
29%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
PES
2 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
2 - 0
SOR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAS
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 0
ASC
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ASC
1 - 1
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASC
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
ASC
3 - 1
NOC
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASC
40%
27%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |