Castel Sangro vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 0
CES
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
CES
3 - 2
SAL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
CES
2 - 3
BOL
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |